商业研究

商业研究

• 商经理论 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国与南非贸易增长因素研究 ——基于市场需求、市场结构、竞争力的分析

佟继英1,2   

  1. 1.辽宁大学 经济学院，沈阳 110036;2.唐山学院 经济管理系，河北 唐山 063000
  • 收稿日期:2016-11-23 出版日期:2017-03-19
  • 作者简介:佟继英（1975-）女，河北唐山人，唐山学院经济管理系副教授，辽宁大学经济学院博士研究生，研究方向：区域经济、国际贸易。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目，项目编号：14JJD790021；河北省社会科学基金项目，项目编号：HB15YJ012

A Study of the Growth Factor of Trade between China and South Africa ——An Analysis based on Market Demand, Market structure and Competitiveness

TONG Ji-ying1,2   

  1. 1. Economics School of Liaoning University, Shenyang 110036, China; 2. Department of Economics and Management, Tangshan College, Tangshan 063000, China
  • Received:2016-11-23 Online:2017-03-19

摘要： 中国与南非贸易增长较快，但贸易集中度仍然较高，南非对中国贸易的依赖性大于中国对南非贸易的依赖性。基于UN贸易数据库1998-2014年中国与南非双边贸易的数据，本文从市场需求、市场结构和竞争力视角，运用修正的CMS模型分析影响中国与南非双边贸易增长的各项因素，发现市场需求效应在中国对南非出口贸易增长中起决定性作用，而市场结构效应是南非对中国出口增加的决定性因素；中国产品在南非的竞争力不断提高，而南非产品在中国市场的竞争力逐渐减弱，分类别贸易产品的增长因素也存在着差异性。因此，双方需从优化出口结构、提高市场竞争力等方面挖掘贸易的潜力、提升层次、扩大规模。

关键词: 中国与南非贸易, CMS模型, 增长因素

Abstract: Nowadays, the trade between China and South Africa grows rapidly but with a high trade concentration, and South Africa has greater trade dependence on China than China to South Africa. Based on 1998-2014 bilateral trade data from UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database, this paper analyzes the factors that affect bilateral trade growth between China and South Africa from the perspective of market demand, market structure and competitive power with revised CMS model, finding the market demand effect plays a decisive role in the growth of China′s export trade to South Africa, while the market structure effect is the decisive factor to the increase of South Africa′s export to China; the competitiveness of China products continues to increase in South Africa, but the competitiveness of South African products is the opposite,at the same time, different trade products has different growth factors. Therefore, both sides should exploit trade potential, enhance the level of product, scale up the trade through optimizing export structure and improving market competitiveness.

Key words: trade between China and South Africa, CSM model, growth factor