基于污染规避的中国出口产业结构优化研究
——一个贸易、环境政策协调的CGE分析框架

商业研究

基于污染规避的中国出口产业结构优化研究 ——一个贸易、环境政策协调的CGE分析框架

兰天，海鹏

云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心，昆明 650221

收稿日期:2017-04-19 出版日期:2017-10-10
作者简介:兰天（1963-），男，昆明人，云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心教授，博士生导师，经济学博士，研究方向：贸易与环境；海鹏(1993-)，男，河北廊坊人，云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心研究生，研究方向：贸易与环境、CGE模型构建与应用。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目“清洁产业出口扩张与污染天堂规避——基于贸易、环境政策协调的CGE模型研究”，项目编号：71563061；云南财经大学研究生创新基金特别项目“基于污染规避的中国出口产业结构优化研究”，项目编号：2017YUFEYC002。

Research on Optimization of China ′s Export Industry Structure based on Pollution Evasion： A Framework for CGE Analysis of Trade and Environmental Policy Coordination

LAN Tian，HAI Peng

Research Institute for Indian Ocean Economies，Yunnan University of Finance and Economics，Kunming 650221，China

Received:2017-04-19 Online:2017-10-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文构建一个贸易与环境政策CGE模型分析征收环境税、R&D补贴，以及两种政策协调作用对中国出口产业结构及经济发展、污染排放的影响。模拟结果表明：单一的征收环境税或进行R&D补贴虽然都能够优化出口产业结构，但有各自的弊端；如果两种政策协调作用，就能够在不影响或促进经济增长的同时，做到最大限度的污染减排，且出口产业结构的优化程度比单一政策作用时更高。因此，中国可以考虑使用环境税与R&D补贴政策的组合实现对出口产业结构的优化，在发展对外贸易的同时，尽可能地规避环境污染问题，促进经济可持续发展。

关键词: 贸易与环境政策, CGE模型, 污染减排, 出口产业结构优化

Abstract: This paper constructs a CGE model of trade and environment policy to simulate and analyze the impacts of environmental tax, R&D subsidy and two policy coordination on China′s export industry structure, economic development and pollution emission. The simulation results show that a single collection of environmental taxes or R&D subsidies can optimize the export industry structure, but has its own disadvantages. If the two policies coordinate, they can achieve maximum pollution reduction while promoting economic growth, and the optimization of the export industry structure is higher than that of a single policy. Therefore, China should consider combining environmental taxes and R&D subsidy policy to optimize export industry structure, which can avoid the problem of environmental pollution as far as possible and promote sustainable economic development while developing foreign trade.

Key words: trade and environment policy, CGE model, pollution abatement, optimization of export industry structure

兰天，海鹏. 基于污染规避的中国出口产业结构优化研究 ——一个贸易、环境政策协调的CGE分析框架[J]. 商业研究.

LAN Tian，HAI Peng. Research on Optimization of China ′s Export Industry Structure based on Pollution Evasion： A Framework for CGE Analysis of Trade and Environmental Policy Coordination[J]. 商业研究.

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