商业研究

商业研究

• 产业经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国“一带一路”沿线商贸流通产业专业化与经济增长方式转变 ——基于城市化调节效应的研究

艾麦提江·阿布都哈力克，卓乘风，邓峰   

  1. 新疆大学 经济与管理学院，乌鲁木齐 830049
  • 收稿日期:2017-06-07 出版日期:2017-10-10
  • 作者简介:艾麦提江·阿布都哈力克（1985-），男，新疆喀什人，新疆大学经济与管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：西方经济学；卓乘风（1991-），男，湖北安陆人，新疆大学经济与管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：西方经济学；邓峰(1970-)，男，本文通讯作者，武汉人，新疆大学经济与管理学院教授，博士生导师，管理学博士，研究方向：西方经济学。
  • 基金资助:
    新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目，项目编号：2017D01C031。

The Specialization of Trade Circulation Industry and Transformation of Economic Growth Pattern in China′s Areas along “Belt and Road”：An Empirical Study based on Moderating Effect of Urbanization

AIMAITIJIANG·Abuduhalike, ZHUO Cheng-feng, DENG Feng   

  1. College of Economics and Management, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830049, China
  • Received:2017-06-07 Online:2017-10-10

摘要： 作为连接生产与消费的桥梁，商贸流通产业对区域经济发展及其方式转变具有极其重要的作用，而城市化对二者关系能够产生强化、协调效应。本文截取“一带一路”国内段2005-2015年的空间面板数据，借助SDM模型，以城市化为调节因素，考察商贸流通产业专业化对经济增长方式转变的效应。研究结果表明：我国“一带一路”沿线区域商贸流通产业专业化水平并不均衡，“一带一路”沿线地区经济增长方式转变在相关因素作用下具有显著的空间关联效应；“一带”沿线地区商贸流通产业专业化对经济增长集约化所产生的积极的本地效应和空间溢出效应明显高于“一路”沿线地区；城市化表现出显著的积极调节作用，尤其在“一带”沿线地区省域内和省域间的杠杆效应和示范效应较显著。因此，推进共建“一带一路”战略过程中应提高商贸流通专业化程度和城市化率，发挥其对经济结构转型升级的积极作用。

关键词: 一带一路, 商贸流通, 经济增长方式, 城市化, 调节效应

Abstract: As a bridge between production and consumption, trade circulation industry plays an extremely important role in the development of regional economy and transformation of economic growth pattern,and urbanization can strengthen and coordinate their relationship. Applying Spatial Durbin Model and choosing the urbanization level as a regulation factor, the paper analyzes the influence of the trade circulation industry specialization on the transformation of economic growth pattern by using domestic sector of “Belt and Road” spatial panel data from 2005 to 2015. The results show that: the trade circulation industry specialization level in areas along“Belt and Road” is not balanced, and transformation of economic growth pattern exists a clear spatial correlation effect under the role of related factors; the positive local effects and spatial spillover effects of the specialization of trade circulation industry on the intensification of economic growth in “Belt” areas are obviously higher than in “Road” areas; the urbanization has a significant moderating role, especially its leverage effect and demonstration effect are more significant both inside and outside of the province in “Belt” regions. Therefore, we should improve trade specialization degree and the rate of city and play its positive role on the transformation and upgrading of economic structure in “Belt and Road” strategic process.

Key words: “Belt and Road”, trade circulation, economic growth pattern, urbanization, moderating effect