商业研究

商业研究

• 经营管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

FDI对我国城镇化外溢影响的人力资本门槛效应分析

王艳丽，刘欢   

  1. （中国矿业大学 管理学院，江苏 徐州 221000）
  • 收稿日期:2018-01-22 出版日期:2018-04-27
  • 作者简介:王艳丽（1981-），女，江苏盐城人，中国矿业大学管理学院副教授，经济学博士，研究方向：产业经济学和城市经济；刘欢（1994-），女，江苏盐城人，中国矿业大学管理学院研究生，研究方向：国际资本流动。

The Human Capital Threshold Effect of FDI on China′s Urbanization Spillover Effect〖WT〗

WANG Yan-li, LIU Huan   

  1. (School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221000,China)
  • Received:2018-01-22 Online:2018-04-27

摘要： FDI的大量流入及外溢效应影响着我国城镇化的推进，人力资本水平是FDI外溢效应能否被我国有效吸收的重要条件。本文以人力资本水平为门槛，以2004-2015年省际面板数据构建非线性面板模型和空间面板杜宾模型，实证检验FDI对城镇化的门槛效应和空间溢出效应。结果表明FDI对城镇化的影响会随着人力资本水平的变化而发生结构性的改变，即当人力资本低于低门槛值（7.2420）时，FDI对城镇化起到阻碍作用；当人力资本处于低门槛值（7.2420）以上、高门槛值（8.9550）以下时，FDI对城镇化起到促进作用；当人力资本高于高门槛值（8.9550）时，FDI对城镇化的推进作用更加显著，而且相邻地区间的FDI与城镇化之间明显存在空间溢出效应。上述结论的启示意义在于人力资本的提升正在成为我国城镇化建设进程与质量提升的限制条件。

关键词: FDI, 城镇化, 人力资本, 门槛效应, 空间溢出

Abstract: The large influx and spillover effect of FDI affect the urbanization of China，the level of human capital is an important condition for the effective absorption of FDI spillover effect. This paper, taking the level of human capital as the threshold, constructs a nonlinear panel model and a space panel Dubin model with 2004-2015 year provincial panel data, and empirically tests the threshold effect and spatial spillover effect of FDI on urbanization. The results show that the impact of FDI on urbanization will change with the change of human capital level, that is, when human capital is lower than the threshold value of human capital (7.2420), FDI has a hindrance to urbanization; when human capital is above the low human capital threshold value (7.2420) and below the high human capital threshold value (8.9550) in the following cases, FDI plays a promoting role in urbanization; when human capital is higher than the high threshold(8.9550), the promotion of FDI to urbanization is more significant, and there is a significant spatial spillover effect between FDI and urbanization in adjacent areas. The above conclusions have practical significance for promoting urbanization in China. The inspiration of the above conclusion is that the upgrading of human capital is becoming a restrictive condition for the process and quality improvement of urbanization in China.

Key words: FDI, urbanization, human capital, threshold effect, spatial spillover