商业研究

商业研究

• 三农经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

人口城镇化与农产品流通产业效率时空耦合分析

黄桂琴1,2，赵连阁1，王学渊1   

  1. （1．浙江工商大学 经济学院，杭州 310018； 2.安徽工程大学 管理工程学院，安徽 芜湖 241000）
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-21 出版日期:2018-09-10
  • 作者简介:黄桂琴（1975-），女，江西吉安人，安徽工程大学管理工程学院讲师，浙江工商大学经济学院博士研究生，研究方向：区域经济协调发展；赵连阁（1966-），本文通讯作者，男，辽宁新宾人，浙江工商大学经济学院教授，博士生导师，经济学博士，研究方向：区域经济发展、农业经济与农村发展；王学渊（1981-），女，河北承德人，浙江工商大学经济学院副教授，管理学博士，研究方向：产业经济、农业经济。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目，项目编号：71773114；浙江省社会科学规划之江青年学者项目，项目编号：13ZJQN056YB。

An Analysis of the Spatial-temporal Coupling between Population Urbanization and Agricultural Produces Circulation Industry Efficiency

HUANG Gui-qin1,2,ZHAO Lian-ge1, WANG Xue-yuan1   

  1. （1．School of Zhejiang Gongshang University，Hangzhou 310018,China; 2．School of Administrative Engineering, Anhui Polytechnic University， Wuhu 241000,China）
  • Received:2018-03-21 Online:2018-09-10

摘要： 人口城镇化的扩张是农产品流通产业发展的动力，农产品流通产业效率提高是城镇人口扩张的有力保证，两者在时空上的耦合水平影响区域经济协调发展的质量。本文运用DEA-Malquist及耦合度模型系统测算了我国31个省市 2005-2015年农产品流通产业的技术效率、全要素生率变化及其分解，以及与人口城镇化水平的耦合度。研究结果表明：农产品流通产业低技术效率与人口城镇化高增长并存；技术进步而非技术效率推动了农产品流通产业的全要素生产率增长；人口城镇化发展与农产品流通产业效率增长的耦合程度在时空的轮动中由低水平向高水平发展，区域间差异明显。因此，在低耦合区要充分发挥城市的溢出效益，提高农产品流通产业技术效率，在高耦合区应加快城镇化步伐，此外，还需推动与电子商务的融合，优化农产品流通环节。

关键词: 人口城镇化, 农产品流通产业, 技术效率, 时空耦合

Abstract: The expansion of population urbanization is the engine of the development of agricultural produces circulation industry，and efficiency improvement of agricultural produces circulation industry is a strong guarantee for urban population expansion. So，the coupling level of the two in time and space affects the quality of regional economic coordinated development. Based on the DEA-Malquist index and the coupling models, this paper measures industry′s technical efficiency of 31 provinces from 2005 to 2015, variation of total factor and its decomposition, and the coupling with the level of population urbanization. This study shows low technical efficiency of agricultural produces circulation industry and high growth of population urbanization coexist; technological progress, rather than technical efficiency, has promoted the total factor productivity growth of agricultural produces circulation industry; the coupling degree between population urbanization growth and the variation of agricultural produces circulation industry efficiency is developed from low level to high level in rotation of time and space, but the difference between provinces is obvious. Therefore, it is necessary to make full use of the spillover effects of the cities and improve the technical efficiency of agricultural produces circulation industry in the low coupling zone and accelerate the pace of urbanization in the high-coupling zone. In addition, we should promote the integration of e-commerce to optimize the circulation link of agricultural produces.

Key words: population urbanization, agricultural produces circulation industry, technical efficiency, Spatial-temporal Coupling