Research on Tourism Climate Index of Heilongjiang Province based on Climate Evaluation

Abstract

Abstract: Climate index refers to processing and summarizing the qualitative indicators in the survey by use of quantitative method to comprehensively reflect state or development trend of a particular survey group or a social economic phenomenon. The paper uses the method of compiling Composite Index (CI) by US Department of Commerce to compile the tourism climate index of Heilongjiang Province, which is regarded as comprehensive evaluation of observing fluctuation of tourism in Heilongjiang Province, analyzes Composite Index with combining the economic situation in Heilongjiang Province to determine the periodic law of tourism in Heilongjiang Province,analyzes and judges the situation of the tourism and the inflection point of the industry cycle to determine the overall fluctuation and trend of the industry, so as to provide some references for the formulation of policies of tourism and micro-tourism operators in Heilongjiang Province.

Key words: Heilongjiang Province, tourism, Composite Index, climate

Business Climate Index Research Team of Harbin University of Commerce. Research on Tourism Climate Index of Heilongjiang Province based on Climate Evaluation[J]. 商业研究.

References

［1］Burns,Arthur F.,and Wesley C.Mitchell,Measuring Business Cycles. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research,1946. ［2］Shiskin,J.,et al.The X-11 Variant of the Census Method ⅡSeasonal Adjustment Program. Technical Paper,US.Departmentof Commerce Bureau of the Census,1967. ［3］James H.Stock, Mark W. Watson, A Simple Estimat or of Coin-tegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems［J］．Econometrica,1993,61(4):783-820. ［4］Francis X.Diebold, Glenn D.Rudebusch. Measuring Business Cycles:A Modern Perspective［J］．The Review of Economics and Statistics,1996,78(1):67-77. ［5］董文泉，高铁梅,等.经济周期波动的分析与预测方法［M］．长春：吉林大学出版社，1998. ［6］张辉.城市入境旅游景气指数构建研究——以北京为例［J］．旅游科学,2013（12）. ［7］阎霞，黄选．中国旅行社产业景气周期的指数化研究［J］．旅游学刊,2007（9）. ［8］雷平．中国外国游客入境旅游市场景气指数的编制与应用［J］．旅游学刊,2009（11）. ［9］杨健．河南省旅行社产业景气指数研究［J］．管理工程师,2011（6）. ［10］石珊珊，钟永德．基于K-L信息量法的饭店业劳动力景气指数评价指标研究［J］．中南林业科技大学学报,2012（4）. ［11］唐承财．中国遗产地旅游景气指数测评及提升模式［J］．资源科学,2013（12）. ［12］高平．上海旅游市场监测指数的构建与实证研究［J］．市场研究,2013（3）. ［13］齐丹丹.基于合成指数的黑龙江省大米行业景气研究［J］．统计与决策,2016（11）. ［14］马瑞秋.大力发展黑龙江省旅游业的对策研究［J］．中国经济与管理科学,2009(1). ［15］李影，车明诚.黑龙江省旅游业的市场绩效分析［J］．中国农学通报,2014（5）.

[1]	ZHANG Hong, SHI Ting-ting,YU Meng-xue. Research on Spatial Connection and Organization Mode of Tourism Economy in Yangtze River Delta [J]. 商业研究, 2020, 62(8): 9-18.
[2]	WEI Min, LI Shu-hao, XU Jie.. Re-measurement of China′s Inter-provincial Tourism Competitiveness under the . Background of High Quality Development:Based on PROMETHEE Method [J]. 商业研究, 2020, 62(2): 91-100.
[3]	XU Jian-zhong, ZHANG Nan. Research on Manufacturing Industry Low-Carbon Transformation Development in Heilongjiang Province under the Background of Low Carbon Economy [J]. 商业研究, 2019, 61(4): 90-96.
[4]	XU Hai-feng1,2. Coupling Coordinated Development of New Urbanization, Circulation Industry and Tourism Industry: An Empirical Study based on Synergy Theory [J]. 商业研究, 2019, 61(2): 45-51.
[5]	ZHANG Jia-lin1，WANG Jing-tong2，FANG tian-yu3. An Empirical Analysis of the Influence Factors of Rural Online Tourism Service [J]. 商业研究, 2019, 61(12): 10-17.
[6]	WANG Sheng-bin. The Effects of Person-Organization Fit on Service-Oriented Citizenship Behavior of Tourism Service in Ethnic Areas [J]. 商业研究, 2018, 60(7): 33-39.
[7]	ZHANG Su，HUANG Rui. The Impact of Cultural Tourism Industry Convergence on Cultural Consumption [J]. 商业研究, 2018, 60(2): 172-176.
[8]	LU Feng-gang1,CHEN Yin-ping1,2. The Network Risk and Governance of Ice and Snow Tourism Cluster: An Analysis based on the Principal-Agent Model Capturing Network Relationship [J]. 商业研究, 2018, 60(11): 161-167.
[9]	TANG Zi1,2,SHI Chang-bo1,ZHANG Na3. Spatial-temporal Coupling of Tourism Economy and Ecological Environment in Heilongjiang Province: From the Perspective of“Harmonious Coexistence between Human Being and Nature” [J]. 商业研究, 2018, 60(1): 1-9.
[10]	WANG Kang1,ZHOU Xiao2, ZHAO Yan-yun1,3. An Analysis of the Development Status of Tourism in Zhejiang Province based on the Monitoring Data of Passenger Car′s Flow [J]. 商业研究, 2018, 60(1): 161-168.
[11]	HE Hui-wen1，GAO Xin2. The Impact of Human Resource Allocation on Exhibitor Performance： From the Perspective of Temporary Team [J]. 商业研究, 2017, 59(9): 33-39.
[12]	XUE Yong-ji, HU Yu-han, BAI Xue-shan. 自然游憩品牌；品牌忠诚；品牌认知；感知价值；行为态度；游客满意度 [J]. 商业研究, 2017, 59(7): 1-8.
[13]	BAO Fu-hua1,3,ZHU Mei-ning2,3. An Analysis of the Characteristics and Related Factors of China′s Foreign Direct Investment in Tourism Industry [J]. 商业研究, 2017, 59(7): 173-177.
[14]	GE Mei1，2, JIANG Xiao-feng3. A Study of the Evaluation Method of Tourist Education in Macao Special Administrative Region [J]. 商业研究, 2017, 59(5): 184-192.
[15]	LIU Jia, LI Ying-ying, WANG Juan. An Analysis of Dynamic Relation between Tourism Environmental Carrying Capacity and Urbanization Level in China′s Coastal Regions [J]. 商业研究, 2017, 59(4): 178-185.