商业研究

商业研究

• 经济学研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

房价上涨对中国城市创新产生抑制效应了吗？ ——基于中国35个大中城市面板数据的实证分析

厉伟1，洪涛2，李彩云1   

  1. （1.河海大学 商学院，南京 211000;2.哈尔滨工业大学 经济管理学院，哈尔滨 150001）
  • 收稿日期:2017-06-09 出版日期:2017-11-16
  • 作者简介:厉伟（1976-），男，江苏淮安人，河海大学商学院教授，管理学/经济学博士，研究方向：房地产经济、战略管理；洪涛（1978-），本文通讯作者，男，黑龙江双城人，哈尔滨工业大学经济管理学院副教授，经济学博士，研究方向：房地产经济、区域经济；李彩云（1991-），女，河南信阳人，河海大学商学院研究生，研究方向：房地产经济。
  • 基金资助:
    河海大学中央高校人文社科基金项目，项目编号：2015B24114。

Does the Rise of House Prices have a Restraining Effect on the City Innovation in China? An Empirical Analysis based on Panel Data of 35 Large and Medium-sized Cities

LI Wei1, HONG Tao2,LI Cai-yun1   

  1. (1.School of Buniess, Hohai University, Nanjing 211000,China; 2. School of Economics and Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001,China)
  • Received:2017-06-09 Online:2017-11-16

摘要： 实施创新驱动战略是实现中国经济转型的重要动力，厘清城市创新的影响机制、 消除其障碍因素是提高中国城市创新水平的主要思路。 本文从城市房价管理的角度分析房价与城市创新的联系机制、效应评估和政策选择，发现当前的房价上涨整体阻碍了中国城市创新水平的提高，一二线城市的负面效应尤其明显；房价上涨主要通过知识型员工流动、企业研发强度以及政府财政中科教支出比重对城市创新水平产生影响，其中介效应呈现出依次递减的态势。地方政府要将房价管理定位为提升城市创新的重要工具：对于房价过度上涨的一线城市应加大对房价的控制力度，对于轻微上涨的二线城市应积极促使房价回归正常水平，对于三线城市则需维持房价在现有合理范围内；一 二线城市在具体举措上应着力于促进城市的产业升级， 靠中高端产业的发展来消化房价上涨压力， 三线城市可承接一二线城市的产业转移， 依靠低房价加大人才引进力度， 为城市创新提供必要的人才储备。

关键词: 房价上涨, 城市创新, 抑制效应

Abstract: The implementation of innovation-driven strategy is an important support for China′s economic transformation. To clarify the influence mechanism and eliminate the obstacles of urban innovation is the main ideas to improve Chinese urban innovation level. From the perspective of urban housing price management, this paper analyzes the linkage mechanism, effect evaluation and policy choice between house prices and urban innovation, and results show that the present house prices rise hinders urban innovation overall, especially in the first-tier and second-tier cities; the influence mechanism includes the following three ways: knowledge employee mobility, enterprise R&D intensity and the proportion of science and education expenditure in government finance, and the mediating effect shows a declining situation in turn. The local government should position the house price management as an important tool to promote urban innovation: the first-tier cities with excessive rise in house prices should strengthen the control of house prices, the second-tier cities with slight rise should actively promote the return of house prices to normal levels, and the third tier cities should maintain the house price within the existing reasonable range; as to the specific measures, the first and second tier cities should focus on promoting the industrial upgrading of the city, relying on the development of middle and high-level industries to digest the rising pressure of house prices, third tier cities can accept the industrial transfer of the first and second tier cities, relying on low house prices to increase the introduction of talent to provide the necessary talent reserves for urban innovation.

Key words: house price rise, city innovation, restraining effect