商业研究

商业研究

• 财经纵横 • 上一篇    下一篇

江浙沪FDI与入境商务旅游关系研究

包富华1，朱美宁2，李文正3   

  1. 1.咸阳师范学院 经济与管理学院，陕西 咸阳〓712000；2.陕西国际商贸学院 商学院， 陕西 咸阳〓712046；3.咸阳师范学院 资源环境与历史文化学院,陕西 咸阳〓712000
  • 收稿日期:2016-08-16 出版日期:2017-03-03
  • 作者简介:包富华（1984-），女，四川内江人，咸阳师范学院经济与管理学院讲师，陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院博士研究生，研究方向：全球化与旅游发展；朱美宁（1983-），女，西安人，陕西国际商贸学院商学院教师，陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院硕士研究生，研究方向：旅游经济地理；李文正（1963-），男，陕西咸阳人，咸阳师范学院资源环境与历史文化学院教授，研究方向：资源环境与经济地理。
  • 基金资助:
    国家旅游局“万名旅游英才”研究型英才培养项目，项目编号：WMYC20151058；陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题研究项目，项目编号：2013C108；陕西省普通高等学校优势学科建设项目，项目编号：0602

Research on the Relationship between FDI and Inbound Business Tourism in Jiangsu，Zhejiang and Shanghai

BAO Fu-hua1,ZHU Mei-ning2,LI Wen-zheng3   

  1. 1. College of Tourism and Environmental Sciences，Xianyang Normal University，Xianyang 712000,China;2. College of Business，Shaanxi Institute of International Trade and Commerce，Xianyang 712046,China；3.College of Resources, Environment and History，Xianyang Normal University，Xianyang 712000,China
  • Received:2016-08-16 Online:2017-03-03

摘要： 在构建FDI与入境商务旅游关系假设模型的基础上，本文以1994-2014年江、浙、沪外企数量、外商投资和入境商务旅游时间序列数据为研究对象，采用协整分析、格兰杰因果检验和弹性系数等方法，实证分析FDI与江、浙、沪入境商务旅游的互动关系及其差异性。研究表明：FDI和入境商务旅游存在长期稳定均衡关系和短期动态调整关系；江苏、浙江的外企数量与IBT互为因果关系，外商投资是IBT的单项格兰杰原因；上海外商投资与IBT互为因果关系，IBT是外企数量的单项格兰杰原因；IBT对外企数量的带动作用小于外商投资对IBT的带动作用；FDI与IBT的相互带动作用呈现出沪>江>浙的发展态势，这与地区本身的投资环境和发展模式密切相关。

关键词: FDI, IBT, Granger因果检验, 弹性系数分析法

Abstract: Based on the hypothetical model of FDI and inbound business tourism, foreign enterprise quantity, foreign direct investment and overseas business tourism time series data in Jiangsu，Zhejiang and Shanghai from 1994 to 2014 are chosen as the research objects to analyze the interaction relationship and difference between FDI and inbound business tourism by using the co-integration analysis, Granger Causality Test and Elastic Coefficient. The research showed that：there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship and short-term dynamic adjustment relationship between FDI and inbound business tourism; there exists reciprocal causation relationship between the number of foreign enterprises and the IBT in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, and foreign investment is the single Granger reason for IBT; foreign investment and the IBT are reciprocal causation relationship in Shanghai, IBT is the single Granger reason for the number of foreign enterprises;the driving effects of IBT on the number of foreign enterprises are less than those of foreign investment on IBT; the interaction driving effects between FDI and IBT presents the development trend of Shanghai>Jiangsu > Zhejiang，which is closely related to the investment environment and development model of the three regions.

Key words: FDI, IBT, Granger Causality Test, Elasticity Coefficient Analysis