商业研究

商业研究

• 商经理论 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国土地储备政策执行偏离度的测量及其时空特征 ——基于全国34个大中城市的实证研究

高霞1，朱德米2， 周林意1   

  1. （1．同济大学 经济与管理学院，上海 200092；2．上海交通大学 国际与公共事务学院，上海 200030）
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-24 出版日期:2019-05-25
  • 作者简介:高霞（1977-），女，河南南阳人，同济大学经济与管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：城市发展与管理；朱德米（1972-），男，江苏盱眙人，上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院教授，博士生导师，研究方向：公共管理与公共政策；周林意（1985-），男，湖南永州人，同济大学经济与管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：环境科学与资源利用。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目，项目编号：13ZD176。

Measurement of China Land Banking Policy Implementation Deviation and Its Temporal and Spatial Characteristics:An Empirical Study based on 34 Large and Medium-sized Cities in China

GAO Xia1，ZHU De-mi2, ZHOU Lin-yi1   

  1. (1.School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092,China； 2. School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030,China)
  • Received:2019-02-24 Online:2019-05-25

摘要： 土地储备是城市土地资源管理的重要手段，我国从20世纪90年代开始执行严格的土地储备管理制度，但其作为一项重要的公共政策，各地方政府作为主要执行者，在地方利益与公共利益的选择中，行为经常偏离公共政策目标，造成土地储备政策执行不力的非效率情况。本文以我国土地储备政策执行偏离为研究对象，采用改进的DEA法和德尔菲法构建基于土地储备决策效率的土地储备政策执行偏离度的测量方法，对中国34个大中城市土地储备政策执行偏离程度及其时空特征进行分析，实证结果表明我国土地储备政策执行偏离现象普遍存在：从时间维度上看，土地储备政策执行偏离度的变化趋势可依次分为相对高位、U型增长和波动下降三个阶段；从空间维度上看，东部地区和中部地区以中度偏离城市居多，西部地区中度偏离和无偏离或近似无偏离的城市数量相当、不同城市偏离度差异显著；从空间分布演变看，中度和高度偏离的城市数量先增后减，高度偏离的城市分布由东部向中部扩散。本文的研究对土地储备政策执行评估和优化提供了有用信息。

关键词: 土地储备, 政策执行偏离, 决策效率

Abstract: Land banking is an important means of urban land resource management. The strict land banking system has been carried out in China since the 1990s. Although it is an important public policy, local governments, as the main executors, often deviate from the objectives of public policy in the choice of local interests and public interests, resulting in inefficient implementation of land reserve policy. This paper takes the deviation of land banking policy implementation as the research object, by using the improved DEA method and Delphi method, a new method is constructed to calculate the deviation degree of land banking policy implementation based on the efficiency of land banking decision-making and analyzes the deviation degree of land banking policy implementation and temporal and spatial characteristics in 34 large and medium-sized cities. The empirical results show that, from the perspective of time dimension, the deviation of land banking policy implementation can be divided into three stages: relatively high status, U-shaped growth and volatility decline; from the spatial dimension, the cities with moderate deviation of land banking policy implementation from 2004 to 2015 are mainly located in the east and middle region, and the number of cities with moderate deviation and no deviation or approximately no deviation in the western region is equal number. Also, the degree of deviation varies greatly from city to city. On the evolution of spatial distribution, the number of cities with moderate and high deviation first increases and then decreases. The highly deviated urban distribution diffuses from the east to the middle. The research in this paper provides useful information for the evaluation and optimization of land banking policy implementation.

Key words: land banking, policy implementation deviation, decision-making efficiency