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Is There a Bias Effect of the Technological Progress in the County Structure Bonus: An Analysis based on Panel Data of 1869 Counties in China

SUN Xue-tao1, WANG Zhen-hua1,ZHANG Guang-sheng2   

  1. (1.College of Economics and Management, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866,
  • Received:2018-02-28 Online:2018-06-26

Abstract: China′s technological progress rate is high, but there is no structural dividend, so there may be biased effects of technological progress. Based on the structural dividend of 1869 counties in China, this paper uses SARAR model to analyze the impact of technological progress bias on county structure bonus and its spatial spillover effect. The study found: the structural dividends based on total factor productivity of industry generally have “structural negative profits”, and there is a significant spatial spillover effect in technological progress; technological progress towards capital is conducive to the improvement of the structure of county dividend, and technical progress towards labor is not conducive to improving the county domain structure bonus. By replacing the quantitative indicators, replacing the spatial weight matrix, subdividing the sample and replacing the spatial econometric model, it is found that the conclusion is still robust. Therefore, we should fully develop the technological progress of biased capital to promote rational allocation of factors and release the structural bonus of counties.

Key words: county, technological progress bias, structural dividend, spatial spillover effects, SARAR Model