Leverage of Departments and Economic Fluctuations in China: Research based on
DSGE Model
WU Jian-luan1, ZHAO Chun-yan1, NAN Shi-jing2
(1. School of Economics and Finance, Xi′an Jiaotong University,Xi′an 710061,China;
2. School of Economics and Management, Northwest University,Xi′an 710127,China)
[1]张晓晶,常欣,刘磊. 结构性去杠杆:进程、逻辑与前景——中国去杠杆2017年度报告[J].经济学动态,2018(5):16-29.
[2]钟宁桦,刘志阔,何嘉鑫,等. 我国企业债务的结构性问题[J].经济研究,2016,51(7):102-117.
[3]纪敏,严宝玉,李宏瑾. 杠杆率结构、水平和金融稳定——理论分析框架和中国经验[J].金融研究,2017(2):11-25.
[4]张斌,何晓贝,邓欢. 不一样的杠杆——从国际比较看杠杆上升的现象、原因与影响[J].金融研究,2018(2):15-29.
[5]高善文.企业部门去杠杆的进展——来自资产周转率的视角[J].新金融评论,2017(1):96-103.
[6]谭小芬,尹碧娇. 中国非金融企业杠杆率:现状和对策[J].中国外汇,2016(11):20-22.
[7]陆婷. 中国非金融企业债务:风险、走势及对策[J].国际经济评论,2015(5):67-77,5-6.
[8]成学真,黄华一.金融资产发行结构与经济波动关系研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2018(2):65-72.
[9]Sutherland D,Hoeller P,Merola R,et al. Debt and Macroeconomic Stability [R]. Oecd Economics Department Working Papers,2012.
[10]Hall R E. The Long Slump [J]. American Economic Review, 2011,101(2):431-469.
[11]Schularick M,Taylor A M. Credit boom gone bust:Monetary policy,leverage cycles,and financial crises,1870-2008[J]. American Economic Review,2012,102(2):1029-1061.
[12]Reinhart C M,Rogoff K S. Growth in a Time of Debt [J]. American Economic Review,2010,100(2):573-578.
[13]Iacoviello M,Pavan M. Housing and debt over the life cycle and over the business cycle[C].Federal Reserve Bank of Boston,2009,60:221-238.
[14]Lombardi M J, Mohanty M S,Shim I. The Real Effects of Household Debt in the Short and Long Run[R]. BIS Working Paper, 2017.
[15]伍戈,高莉,文若愚,等. 居民加杠杆的是与非[J].金融发展评论,2018(1):1-6.
[16]李若愚. 居民部门杠杆率的国际比较与启示[J].金融与经济,2016(1):23-27.
[17]刘喜和,周扬,穆圆媛. 企业去杠杆与家庭加杠杆的资产负债再平衡路径研究——基于股票市场的视角[J].南开经济研究,2017(3):111-126.
[18]何南. 基于VECM的中国家庭债务与消费波动:1997~2011年[J].经济学动态,2013(7):65-69.
[19]田新民,夏诗园. 中国家庭债务、消费与经济增长的实证研究[J].宏观经济研究,2016(1):121-129.
[20]刘哲希,李子昂. 结构性去杠杆进程中居民部门可以加杠杆吗[J].中国工业经济,2018(10):42-60.
[21]Luengoprado M J . Durables, Nondurables,Down Payments and Consumption Excesses[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,2004, 53(7):1509-1539.
[22]Stein J C. Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market:A Model with Down-Payment Effects[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1995,110(2):379-406.
[23]Lamont O,Stein J C. Leverage and House-Price Dynamics in U.S.Cities[J]. Rand Journal of Economics,1997,30(3):498-514.
[24]魏玮,陈杰. 加杠杆是否一定会成为房价上涨的助推器?——来自省际面板门槛模型的证据[J].金融研究,2017(12):48-63.
[25]Jermann U,Quadrini V. Macroeconomic effects of financial shocks[J]. American Economic Review,2012,102(1):238-271.
[26]Gertler M,Karadi P. A model of unconventional monetary policy[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,2011,58(1):17-34.
[27]王国静,田国强. 金融冲击和中国经济波动[J].经济研究,2014,49(3):20-34.
[28]赵米芸,余力,张慧芳. 金融摩擦、违约冲击与中国经济波动[J].中央财经大学学报,2016(11):76-83.
[29]王频,侯成琪. 预期冲击、房价波动与经济波动[J].经济研究,2017,52(4):48-63.