商业研究

商业研究

• 物流研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

物流业与金融业协同演化机制及路径优化研究

唐建荣，姜翠芸   

  1. 江南大学 商学院，江苏 无锡 214122
  • 收稿日期:2017-02-26 出版日期:2017-08-24
  • 作者简介:唐建荣（1963- ），男，江苏无锡人，江南大学商学院教授，管理学博士，研究方向：低碳经济；姜翠芸（1993- ），女，山东烟台人，江南大学商学院研究生，研究方向：物流金融。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究”，项目编号：71301061；中央高校专项项目，项目编号：2015JDZD11。

Research on Synergetic Evolution Mechanism and Path Optimization between Logistics Industry and Financial Industry

TANG Jian-rong,JIANG Cui-yun   

  1. School of Business,Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122,China
  • Received:2017-02-26 Online:2017-08-24

摘要： 物流与金融的整合创新，构建风险共治、利益共赢的物流-金融复合系统，是物流业进一步发展提升的有效途径。本文选取我国31省市2004-2014年物流业与金融业宏观数据，运用熵权法分别衡量区域物流能力和金融绩效水平，基于哈肯模型构建物流-金融复合系统分析物流金融协同发展路径和演变规律。研究发现，物流能力在复合系统演变过程中起主导作用；物流业的发展对金融业有正反馈效应，而金融市场对物流业发展未起到充分的支持作用；我国物流-金融协同水平整体已进入“协作级”阶段，物流能力、金融绩效和协同水平均呈东-中-西三级阶梯式递减趋势。据此，目标协同、发展耦合、风险共担、信息共享和政策引导是物流业与金融业协同发展的有效措施。

关键词: 物流能力, 金融绩效, 哈肯模型, 协同发展

Abstract: The integration and innovation of logistics and finance, and the construction of a logistics financial complex system with both risk sharing and win-win benefits are the effective ways for the further development and improvement of logistics industry.The paper selects 31 provinces and cities′ macro data of logistics industry and financial industry from 2004 to 2014, and uses the entropy weight method to measure regional logistics capability and financial performance. Then the study builds logistics - finance compound system based on Hawking model to study collaborative development path and evolution rules of the logistics finance. The results show that logistics capability plays a leading role in the compound system′s evolution process; the development of the logistics industry has positive effects on finance, but the financial markets do not have sufficient support to the logistics industry; the overall level of logistics - finance cooperation has entered into “collaboration stage”, logistics capability, financial performance and synergetic level all show east - middle - west decreasing trend. Based on the results, the paper puts forward object synergy, development coupling, risk-sharing, information-sharing and policy guidance, are effective measures for the coordinated development between logistics industry and financial industry.

Key words: logistics capability, financial performance, Hawking model, synergetic development