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An Analysis of Trade Imbalance of High-tech Products between China and U.S. based on VAR Model

SUN Ying, LIU Can,MA Zheng-yu   

  1. (Donlinks School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083,China)
  • Received:2017-12-27 Online:2018-04-27

Abstract: At present, America is in the deficit position in high-tech products trade between China and U.S.. The root cause of "anti-comparative advantage" is U.S.′s strict export control to China in high-tech products trade. In addition, the FDI in high-tech products field, the industrial transfer and China′s growing scientific and technological innovation capacity contribute to the phenomenon of trade imbalance of high-tech products between China and U.S..Through the establishment of the VAR model, this paper analyses the characteristics of trade imbalance of high-tech products between two countries, and emphatically analyses the degree of negative impact of U.S. export controls, FDI and the improvement of China′s technical level on trade imbalance of high-tech products. Based on these, this paper puts forward countermeasures and policy suggestions.

Key words: high-tech products, trade imbalance between China and U.S., export control, industrial transfer, technological innovation